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Black Swan Index of Chinese Corporations (BSICC)

Capital Watch ESG Ratings

Black Swan Index of Chinese Corporations (BSICC)

“Black Swan Index of Chinese Corporations” (BSICC) is the first index of its kind that systematically examines the probability and consequences of the low-frequency, high-impact extreme events that may befall on Chinese corporations in the foreseeable future.

This newly developed index consists of three major factors, (1) the financial stability index which measures the relative health and stability of a public-listed companies, (2) the brand likability index which measures the perception and reputation of the concerning brand among foreign stakeholders, and (3) the risk & vulnerability index which measures the likelihood of a company mired in certain Black Swan event and the potential consequences based on its industry, business, and previous experiences. All major Chinese corporations listed on the U.S. stock markets and Hong Kong Stock Exchange (a total of 300 or so) will be examined and data-analyzed.

Whether you are an executive in charge of a large corporation or you are an investor worrying about the safety of your investment portfolio, Black Swan Index offers you a much-needed telescope to look through the murky and turbulent moving pieces, and helps you mitigate the most devastating risks in the foreseeable future.

黑天鹅指数

为帮助中国企业在错综复杂、瞬息万变的国际局势中,更好地审时度势,未雨绸缪,资本观察的美国市场分析团队,研究创立了一套能够准确预测、衡量中国企业在国际市场上所面临系统性风险的“黑天鹅指数”体系。

该体系主要包含三大指标群,

【1】企业投融资健康指标(一年内股票波动系数,涨跌幅度,空头比例,债券利率等);

【2】企业品牌综合美誉度(海外传统媒体和社交媒体的报道频度,重要性,态度评价等);

【3】企业“黑天鹅”风险系数(涉及企业经营发展的黑天鹅事件,其概率及短中长期影响)。

三大指标最终通过加权汇总,每一家企业可得出一个可横、纵向比较衡量的“黑天鹅指数”。通过这一公式模板,资本观察每年为在海外上市的中国企业(包括在美国道琼斯和纳斯达克上市的将近200家有中资背景的企业,以及在香港上市的150多家中资红筹股),进行风险测评与排行的危机预测服务。

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